| THEORY & FORMULAE |
A well producing above its critical rate from a reservoir with an underlying water-zone below, will eventually experience water breakthrough. A number of researchers have proposed methods for estimating the Time to breakthrough tBT.
The two commonly-used methods are:
- Sobocinski-Cornelius Method
- Bournazel-Jeanson Method
In both methods, the water breathrough time is correlated with two dimensionless paramters: the Cone height Z and Breakthrough time (tD)BT. This dimensionless breaktrough time is then used to derive time to breakthrough in days. The main difference between two methods is in the expression for dimensionless breakthrough time.
The dimensionless Cone height Z is given by the expression:
The dimensionless (tD)BT is given by the expressions:
Sobocinski-Cornelius Method
... Z < 3.5
Bournazel-Jeanson Method
... Z < 4.286
The Time to breaktrough (tBT) is the given by the expression:
where the water-oil mobility ratio M is defined as:
Where:
Qo = well oil production rate, STB/day
h = oil column thickness, ft
hp= perforated interval, ft
kh= horizontal permeability, md
kv= vertical permeability, md
(krw)sor = oil relative permeability at connate
water saturation
(kro)swc = water relative permeability at residual
oil saturation
φ = porosity, fraction
Bo = formation volume factor of oil
μ o = oil viscosity, cp
μ w = water viscosity, cp
ρ o = oil density, lb/ft3
ρ w = water density, lb/ft3
α = 0.5 for M =< 1
α = 0.6 for 1 < M =< 10